Plain Sight / After Dark
暗摆着 · placed in the open, visible only with the floodlights off
After Dark · 暗摆着

Plain Sight After Dark

Companion essays where the analytical call gets made before the evidence is fully in. Speculative by design.

Cover image – Becoming the Electrostate

Becoming the Electrostate

The demand side. Gasoline peaked, freight flipped, industrial heat reached parity – five migrations from 30% electrification toward 60%.

July 2026 · 中文版
Cover image – The Framework

The Framework

A note on first principles. Why the Smil-Rosling synthesis is the analytical engine of Plain Sight Research.

May 2026 · 中文版
Cover image

Swimming With the Current: Alibaba

A $295bn megacap at 40–45% of fair value, and the quarter that graded the call. The algorithm reads collapse; the segment breakdown reads pivot.

May 2026
Cover image

Forecasting Chinese Exports

China export consensus misses 2024–2026. The same structural misforecast the IEA made on solar, applied to trade surplus.

March 2026