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  <description>What the data says when you read it without ideology. Falsifiable research on China, energy, and global markets.</description>
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  <copyright>Copyright Plain Sight Research</copyright>
  <managingEditor>adam@plainsightresearch.com (Adam Hu)</managingEditor>
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    <title>Solar, Batteries and…Hauling Rocks?</title>
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    <pubDate>Thu, 23 Apr 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
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    <description>Chinese miners expanded copper output 16% and gold 43% during a supercycle. Western majors contracted 18–60%. The reason isn't state policy — it's cheaper equipment, lower-grade capability, and a capital cost advantage that makes orebodies economic that Western operators wrote off.</description>
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    <title>Swimming With the Current: Alibaba at $124</title>
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    <pubDate>Sun, 05 Apr 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
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    <description>A $295B megacap mispriced by a factor of two. The algorithm reads collapse. The data says pivot to the right side of the Five-Year Plan.</description>
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    <title>The Oil Surplus Nobody Is Modeling</title>
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    <pubDate>Wed, 01 Apr 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
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    <description>Global oil demand enters permanent structural surplus by 2028-2029. Five demand-destruction forces the consensus underestimates.</description>
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    <title>If China Leads in Solar, Why Is It Building More Coal?</title>
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    <pubDate>Fri, 20 Mar 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
    <dc:creator>Adam Hu</dc:creator>
    <description>Three answers to the coal question. The third — coal-to-olefins — is the thesis nobody in Western energy markets has priced.</description>
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    <title>Reading Words: What the 15th Five-Year Plan Actually Says</title>
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    <pubDate>Tue, 10 Mar 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
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    <description>The FYP as deployment order, not speculative bet. Why TFP is China's new organizational scorecard, and what RMB internationalization actually means.</description>
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    <category>China Policy</category>
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    <title>The IEA Error: Why Every China Forecast Is Wrong in the Same Direction</title>
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    <pubDate>Sun, 01 Mar 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
    <dc:creator>Adam Hu</dc:creator>
    <description>The IEA underestimated solar for 15 years running. The same structural misforecast is now happening on China's trade surplus.</description>
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